Normal and dry instead of hot and dry
A pattern change is coming to the Mid-South but unfortunately it will not ease the severe to exceptional drought conditions that have persisted throughout the summer and fall. (more…)
View ArticleInteresting pattern last two weeks of October
After months of monotonous heat and drought across the Mid-South the synoptic pattern is showing some interesting changes. (more…)
View ArticleCool, wet week ahead, then warm for early November
Since my last post on October 10th “Interesting pattern last two weeks of October” the jet stream has indeed been as progressive as predicted with a number of recent storms. The next storm on the...
View ArticleArctic Blast first week of November??
Even though my last post mentioned a warm start to November, the 06Z and 12Z runs of the operational GFS suggest quite the opposite. In fact, if either of the morning runs of the GFS were to verify it...
View ArticleAre long, hot summers followed by cold, snowy winters?
Mark Baldwin of the Tennessee Emergency Management Agency (and a former WKU graduate) posed this question here and I did a little research to find the answer. I love when “people” say things like this...
View ArticleCold but dry start to November likely
The model and teleconnection data are suggesting that the first ten days of November will feature below normal temperatures with at least one and possibly two arctic air masses over the eastern United...
View ArticleStatistics from the October 22-25 rain event
Here are some interesting statistics regarding our record-breaking late October rain event in the Mid-South. Bowling Green is used as the station of record for all statistics. (more…)
View ArticleEarly November cold as promised; mid-month looks interesting
As prefaced in my last couple of posts here and here, the first arctic air mass of the season is poised to descend on the Mid-South early next week. The models are also hinting at a possible wet...
View ArticleLast 10 days of November look cold and possibly stormy
My last post at the beginning of the month discussed the possibility of mid-November cold with the caveat that “the EPO is not supportive of an extended cold air outbreak”. This turned out to be...
View ArticleThanksgiving week looks warm and wet followed by cold
My last post introduced the idea of a cold and possibly stormy last 10 days of November. The order and timing of events speculated on in that post is becoming more clear, although uncertainties remain....
View ArticleGlobal warming debate
John Coleman, the founder of The Weather Channel and currently a TV Meteorologist in San Diego, made news recently by calling Global Warming “The greatest scam in history” on his blog that was also...
View ArticleSevere weather possible Wednesday; brief long-range outlook
As is often the case with winter storms, I have not paid too much attention to the likelihood of severe weather with this front. The Storm Prediction Center (SPC) has placed the Mid-South in a slight...
View ArticleStormy pattern to continue through December 10th
The weather through the first 27 days of November has been quite variable but normal overall (Temp = -0.01; Precip. = 0.00 relative to normal). The pattern over the next two weeks should remain active...
View ArticleSE ridge to keep Mid-South warm through mid-month
Shawn Crowe writes “Medium range models are keeping us above freezing until at least the 17th of the month now. It’s not looking good for snowfall chances in KY this month, as this zonal pattern...
View ArticleSnowstorm possibilities for the Mid-South
Just a few days after record warmth (75 degrees!!) the models are pointing to a potential weekend snowstorm for the Mid-South this weekend. With the storm over 100 hrs away, there is no point trying to...
View ArticleStorm on track; top ten wet December?
Everything looks good for this storm from my previous post. As expected, the warm Gulf air mass and the SE ridge successfully advanced the line of scrimmage and pushed the storm track north and west,...
View ArticleIf you like snow, move here
NWS forecast for the higher elevations outside Mammoth Lakes, California for January 4. Today: Periods of snow. The snow could be heavy at times. High near 25. Strong and damaging winds, with a south...
View ArticleSee-saw pattern ahead
See-saw pattern for the next two weeks. Winter should return prior to mid-month after a week-long mild-rainy period. (more…)
View ArticleIs the current near-record warmth a sign of global warming?
My wife, who is from northern Indiana where winters are fierce, gets very nervous every winter when the Mid-South has near-record warm weather like today with high temperatures flirting with 70...
View ArticleUncertainty for 2nd half of January
As mentioned in a recent post the see-saw pattern will swing back to cold this weekend. Thursday’s storm will bring more rain and possibly severe weather to the Mid-South and will bring temperatures...
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